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2026.05
Commentary on the Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy (April 27, 2026)
"Regional Socio-Economic Construction" and "Enhancement of Human Resource Capabilities"
Toshihiro Nagahama
- Executive Summary
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- Strategies were presented to address population decline and aging infrastructure through both "earning power" and "social foundations." Key points include: ① Strong Regional Economies: Promoting cross-prefectural collaboration, enhancing local industry value, and reforming land/agricultural regulations. ② Sustainable Foundations: Prioritizing infrastructure based on future population data and improving administrative efficiency through "AX" (AI Transformation). ③ Public Works Evaluation: Updating the evaluation framework, including timely reviews of the social discount rate.
- Proposals focused on rebuilding education and labor markets for an AI-integrated society. Key points include: ① Educational OS Shift: Moving from memorization to "Inquiry-Based Learning" to foster "origination skills" and "meta-skills." ② Full Participation: Utilizing physical AI and robots to offset labor shortages, enforcing "equal pay for equal work," and increasing labor liquidity through reskilling support.
- I propose "Reforms Without Sanctuaries" in three areas for Japan's sustainable growth: ① Agricultural Reform: Abolishing corporate land ownership restrictions and shifting from production quotas to direct subsidies. ② Public Works Reform: Reducing the social discount rate from 4% to approximately 2% to correctly value future benefits. ③ Labor Market Reform: Promoting a selective 4-day work week and abolishing mandatory retirement to realize a "Lifelong Active Society."
1. Introduction
During the Council on Economic and Fiscal Policy held on April 27, 2026, private-sector members presented proposals on two vital themes: "Regional Socio-Economic Construction" in a shrinking society and "Enhancement of Human Resource Capabilities" in the AI era. This report introduces these discussions based on the submitted papers.
2. Construction of a Sustainable Regional Socio-Economy
To realize the Takaichi Cabinet’s vision of "Strong and Prosperous Japanese Archipelago," strategies were shown to overcome population decline and aging infrastructure.
- Building Strong Regional Economies: Three proposals were made: accelerating cross-prefectural collaboration between governments, companies, and universities; introducing new technologies to local industries to increase value-added; and reforming land regulations to allow for agricultural land consolidation.
- Sustainable Social Foundations: Key proposals included prioritizing infrastructure maintenance based on future population projections; refreshing public works evaluations by including diverse economic effects and reviewing social discount rates; and promoting "AX" (AI Transformation) to radically reform administrative services.
3. Strengthening Human Capital for an AI-Driven Society
Proposals were made to fundamentally rebuild Japan’s educational system and labor market based on the premise of AI permeating society.
- Transitioning the "Educational OS": For primary and secondary education, the focus should shift from memorization to "Inquiry-Based Learning" to develop "origination skills" (the ability to ask one's own questions) and "meta-skills" (learning how to learn). Higher education must also adapt to the shrinking 18-year-old population through functional enhancement and organizational resizing.
- A Society for Active Participation of All Personnel: Proposals included using physical AI and robots to compensate for reduced labor input; eliminating irrational wage gaps by enforcing "equal pay for equal work"; and facilitating labor mobility toward high-productivity companies through reskilling and improved safety nets.
4. Author’s Opinion
I proposed three specific areas for "Reforms Without Sanctuaries" to ensure Japan’s long-term growth:
- Abolishing Land Acquisition Restrictions: Allowing corporations to purchase land to encourage stable, large-scale management.
- Ending Production Adjustment (Gen-tan) Policies: Shifting to direct income compensation for farmers to strengthen food security and export competitiveness.
- Correcting the JA (Agricultural Cooperatives) Monopoly: Scaling the "Yabu City Special Zone" model nationwide to transform agriculture into a modern growth industry.
- Lowering the Rate: Reducing it from the current 4% to approximately 2%, closer to international standards, to avoid underestimating future benefits.
- Evaluating Non-Monetary Value: Properly assessing effects that cannot be converted to currency to improve accountability and transparency.
- Promoting Selective 4-Day Work Weeks: To encourage regular employment for non-regular workers and provide time for reskilling.
- Abolishing Mandatory Retirement: Replacing age-based forced exits with a "job-based" employment system to prevent the loss of skilled talent.
- Social Security Stabilization: Moving to an economy that evaluates people by ability rather than age, which will stabilize fiscal resources and reduce the burden on younger generations.
Disclaimer:
This report has been prepared for general information purposes only and is not intended to solicit investment. It is based on information that, at the time of preparation, was deemed credible by Daiichi Life Research Institute, but it accepts no responsibility for its accuracy or completeness. Forecasts are subject to change without notice. In addition, the information provided may not always be consistent with the investment policies, etc. of Daiichi Life or its affiliates.